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You are here: Home / Stock Ideas / Company Analysis / A $1 Million Bet That Target Is Cheap

A $1 Million Bet That Target Is Cheap

June 16, 2017 By Sophocles Sophocleous

Summary

  • Insiders have bought over $1 million worth of Target.
  • Unlike the majority of the market, Target trades at a discount to its value.
  • Stock price appears to have stabilized. Potential earnings beats or any improvement could see the stock much higher.

First quarter results provided a hint that Target (NYSE:TGT) may not be doing as poorly as the wider market may think. At least three insiders believe so as they put on a combined $1 million bet at current prices in March. The company valuation looks cheap while the stock appears to have stabilized. Any reported improvement by the company will mean recent lows were the bottom.

The stock took a dive in February as the company reported Q4. Same-stores sales dropped (-1.5%) for a third consecutive time, margins dropped (gross and operating were -1% and -0.7% lower) and guidance for the year disappointed. For 2017, Target expects a low single-digit decline in same-store sales (SSS), and EPS in the range of $3.80 to $4.20.

That’s an 8% drop from $4.58 (adjusted) last year. The company had also guided for Q1. They expected a low-to-mid single-digit decline in SSS and EPS between 80c and 100c. When they actually reported Q1, they surprised with a 30c beat.

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Filed Under: Blog, Company Analysis Tagged With: TGT

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Disclaimer

fatalpha.com is not operated by a broker, a dealer, a registered investment adviser, or a regulated entity. Under no circumstances does any information posted represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. In no event shall fatalpha.com, Sophocles Sophocleous, FATALPHA LTD, or any affiliates or associates be liable to any member or guest for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content available on the website. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. All the information on this site and any related materials is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. All materials and information you obtain here are exclusively for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to provide any investment services to investors based in the U.S. or elsewhere.

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Sophocles Sophocleous

A Fulbright scholar and Chartered Financial Analyst, has been active in the global financial markets since 1999. This website displays his personal thoughts and views. Read More…

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